Overview

2018-2019 Influenza Season Summary

The 2018-2019 influenza season was an unusually long season in Utah, with elevated influenza activity running 22 consecutive weeks from late November to late April. Influenza illness largely fell into in two distinct waves. The first wave was predominantly driven by influenza A H1N1 while the second started in mid-February 2019 and was driven by influenza A H3N2. Very few cases of influenza B were reported. In total, over 1,800 people were hospitalized and six people under the age of 18 died with influenza associated illnesses during the 2018-19 influenza season. This high severity season highlights the need for ongoing influenza prevention like getting a flu shot each season; preventing the spread of flu by staying home when sick, covering coughs, and washing hands; and calling your doctor if you think you make be sick with the flu.

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2018-19 Season Severity Estimate

High

Weeks with Elevated Influenza Activity

22

Seasonal Influenza-Associated Hospitalizations

1809

Predominant Influenza Strain

A H1N1

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2018-2019 Influenza Season Severity Measures

UDOH estimates influenza severity by comparing the rates of hospitalizations, influenza-like illness, and positive laboratory results to historic influenza seasons. The 2018-19 seasonal severity estimate is High.

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Influenza-Associated Hospitalization (IAH) Weekly Incidence Rate

Influenza-Like Illness Rate

Percent Positive Influenza Laboratory Results (NREVSS)

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Background

For the 2018-2019 influenza season, UDOH adopted a new methodology for determining influenza season severity called the Moving Epidemic Method. Based on data from past influenza seasons, UDOH uses key influenza indicator data to develop intensity thresholds (ITs) to classify the severity of influenza seasons from low to very high. The indicators chosen to capture influenza severity in Utah include:
  1. Incidence of influenza-associated hospitalizations (IAH) per 100,000 population
  2. Percentage of patient visits reported to ILInet (national influenza-like illness reporting system) defined as the percentage of outpatient visits with fever and cough and/or sore throat
  3. Percentage of positive influenza lab results reported to UDOH from specific clinical laboratories through the National Respiratory and Enteric Virus Surveillance System (NREVSS)

Indicators that are below the IT50 threshold are shown in green in the gauges and plots below, and are considered “Low” severity. Indicators between IT50 and it IT90 (yellow) are considered “Moderate” severity, indicators between IT90 and IT98 (red) are considered “High” severity, and indicators above IT98 are considered “Very High” severity (purple). The Utah season severity estimate is then set by comparing across all three indicators. This methodology was published by CDC researchers in the American Journal of Epidemiology in October 2017.

Influenza-Associated Hospitalizations

Influenza-Associated Hospitalizations

Influenza-associated hospitalization (IAH) is a reportable condition in Utah. People meet the case definition for influenza hospitalization if they are hospitalized for any length of time and have a positive influenza laboratory test. Public health in Utah gathers a variety of data on influenza hospitalizations, including clinical features, course of illness, risk and protective factors, and influenza type and subtype. Data from influenza hospitalizations allow public health officials in Utah to better understand the groups of people most severely affected by influenza and help guide prevention messages and interventions. Data collection for the 2018/2019 influenza season began on September 30, 2018.

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Influenza-Associated Hospitalization (IAH) Incidence

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Cumulative Influenza-Associated Hospitalization (IAH) Incidence

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Influenza-Associated Hospitalization Map

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Influenza-Associated Hospitalization Table

Influenza-Associated Hospitalization by Age

Influenza-Like Illness (ILI)

Influenza-Like Illness (ILI)

The U.S. Outpatient Influenza-like Illness Surveillance Network (ILINet) is a national system that conducts surveillance for ILI in outpatient healthcare facilities, including emergency departments. For this system, ILI is defined as fever (temperature of 100°F or greater) and a cough and/or sore throat. These data provide an indication of ILI circulating in the community. During the 2018-2019 influenza season, ILI reached the second highest peak seen in the previous 5 years, and was above seasonal baseline for 22 consecutive weeks.

Due to technical issues, ILI in Utah was significantly underreported during the 2017-2018 season. ILI rates were recalculated in the summer of 2018 and the updated data are shown below.

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Utah ILI Activity Rate

Laboratory Surveillance

2018-2019 Laboratory Surveillance and Viral Classification:

The Utah National Electronic Disease Surveillance System (UT-NEDSS) maintains influenza testing results from hospital laboratories and the Utah Public Health Laboratory (UPHL). UPHL tests influenza specimens to determine influenza type and subtype. A portion of specimens are also sent to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention for additional typing and characterization. The results below include positive influenza tests reported to the Utah Department of Health from both hospitals and outpatient facilities.

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Influenza Virus Identification

Detected Influenza A Strains

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Laboratory Influenza Testing: Positive Specimens by Type/Subtype

2018-19 Season
Count Percentage
Influenza A 8346 94.5%
Influenza A (H3N2) 998 12.0%
Influenza A (H1N1) 1307 15.7%
Influenza A, unsubtyped 6035 72.3%
Influenza B 483 5.5%

Data Note

Influenza A viruses can be typed into different strains. The most common subtypes of influenza A viruses found in people are influenza A (H1N1) and influenza A (H3N2) viruses. In the spring of 2009, a new influenza A (H1N1) virus emerged that caused severe illness in humans. This new virus was very different from the human influenza A (H1N1) viruses circulating at that time and caused the first influenza pandemic in more than 40 years. That virus (often called “2009 H1N1”) has now replaced the H1N1 virus that was previously circulating in humans. Some influenza tests are unable to differentiate between influenza A strains, so many positive influenza A results reported to UDOH are unsubtyped.

Student Absenteeism

Student Absenteeism

School-age children are at high risk for respiratory viral infections, including influenza. Absenteeism data due to all causes is collected weekly from over 350 schools throughout Utah. These data are analyzed to identify elevated absenteeism rates that may indicate the circulation of influenza in school-age children.

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School Absentee Data, Utah 2018-2019 Compared to Three Year Average

Mortality

Pneumonia and Influenza (PI) Deaths

Each week the total number of death certificates received and the number of those for which pneumonia or influenza was listed as an underlying or contributing cause of death is collected. The percentage of deaths due to pneumonia and influenza are compared with a seasonal baseline and predicted epidemic threshold. These data are used to monitor the severity of influenza illness in the community. Utah did not cross the epidemic threshold during the 2018-19 influenza season.

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Percentage of Deaths Associated with Pneumonia and Influenza Illness, Utah

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